Wagner
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 73.9527Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 A Drexel Colonial ( 5-11, 83.2) 3-16 214 H Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 9- 8, 79.8) 6-13 221 H Dartmouth Ivy League ( 8- 7, 90.2) 2-23 228 A UMBC America Eas ( 7- 8, 80.6) 5-12 307 A Hofstra Colonial (10- 7, 84.6) 1-18 311 A Albany America Eas (12- 6, 84.2) 4-16 314 H Delaware State Northeast ( 0-17, 59.7) 18- 3 321 H New Haven Northeast ( 5- 9, 70.1) 14- 9 325 A LIU Northeast (10- 7, 74.9) 9- 8 328 A Le Moyne Northeast (14- 4, 77.0) 8- 9 404 A Mercyhurst Northeast ( 3-11, 67.2) 18-11 408 H Stonehill Northeast (13- 7, 78.5) 13-15 411 H Central Connecticut Northeast ( 1-14, 63.2) 16- 5 418 A Howard (DC) Northeast ( 3-13, 67.8) 13- 5 425 A Fairleigh Dickinson Northeast (10- 8, 72.4) 6-11
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
211 A Drexel 3-16 -13 -11 - -2.34
214 H Monmouth (NJ) 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.53
221 H Dartmouth 2-23 -21 -15 0.00
228 A UMBC 5-12 -7 -8 1.03
307 A Hofstra 1-18 -17 -12 - -2.02
311 A Albany 4-16 -12 -12 -0.37
314 H Delaware State 18- 3 15 16 0.00
321 H New Haven 14- 9 5 5 -0.23
325 A LIU 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.34
328 A Le Moyne 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.46
404 A Mercyhurst 18-11 7 5 1.59
408 H Stonehill 13-15 -2 -3 1.18
411 H Central Connecticut 16- 5 11 12 -1.10
418 A Howard (DC) 13- 5 8 5 + 3.18
425 A Fairleigh Dickinson 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.18
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Fairleigh Dickinson 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.18 211 A Drexel 3-16 -13 -11 - -2.34 214 H Monmouth (NJ) 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.53 307 A Hofstra 1-18 -17 -12 - -2.02 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A LIU 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.34 328 A Le Moyne 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.46 418 A Howard (DC) 13- 5 8 5 + 3.18 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Drexel ( 5-11, 83.2) 3-16 -16.65 23.52 1.37 1.15 -8.83
3 H Monmouth (NJ) ( 9- 8, 79.8) 6-13 -20.10 20.06 -1.37 1.15 -12.40
3 H Dartmouth ( 8- 7, 90.2) 2-23 -9.67 30.50 -1.37 1.15 -6.37
3 A UMBC ( 7- 8, 80.6) 5-12 -19.29 20.88 1.37 1.15 -10.35
3 A Hofstra (10- 7, 84.6) 1-18 -15.34 24.83 1.37 1.15 -8.07
3 A Albany (12- 6, 84.2) 4-16 -15.69 24.48 1.37 1.15 -8.27
3 H Delaware State ( 0-17, 59.7) 18- 3 -40.17 1.00 -1.37 1.15 -0.85
3 H New Haven ( 5- 9, 70.1) 14- 9 -29.81 10.35 -1.37 1.15 20.76
3 A LIU (10- 7, 74.9) 9- 8 -24.98 15.19 1.37 1.15 38.24
3 A Le Moyne (14- 4, 77.0) 8- 9 -22.86 17.31 1.37 1.15 -12.41
3 A Mercyhurst ( 3-11, 67.2) 18-11 -32.73 7.44 1.37 1.15 20.34
3 H Stonehill (13- 7, 78.5) 13-15 -21.40 18.77 -1.37 1.15 -13.14
3 H Central Connec ( 1-14, 63.2) 16- 5 -36.68 3.49 -1.37 1.15 4.90
3 A Howard (DC) ( 3-13, 67.8) 13- 5 -32.13 8.03 1.37 1.15 21.71
3 A Fairleigh Dick (10- 8, 72.4) 6-11 -27.50 12.67 1.37 1.15 -15.09
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10.18
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winning pts = 105.0995 losing points = -94.9231
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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